Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 3.455785e-05 0.000041 0.000049 0.000057 0.000067 0.000077 0.000089
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.824995e-05 0.000037 0.000047 0.000059 0.000074 0.000090 0.000110
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.216979e-05 0.000032 0.000043 0.000058 0.000076 0.000096 0.000122
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.829733e-05 0.000028 0.000041 0.000057 0.000078 0.000103 0.000135
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.464788e-05 0.000024 0.000037 0.000055 0.000079 0.000107 0.000144
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.184592e-05 0.000021 0.000035 0.000054 0.000079 0.000111 0.000152
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.011585e-05 0.000020 0.000033 0.000054 0.000081 0.000117 0.000164
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 8.281837e-06 0.000017 0.000031 0.000052 0.000082 0.000120 0.000172
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.811561e-06 0.000015 0.000029 0.000051 0.000082 0.000123 0.000180
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.512678e-06 0.000014 0.000027 0.000049 0.000082 0.000126 0.000187
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.323047e-06 0.000012 0.000025 0.000047 0.000081 0.000126 0.000191
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.316210e-06 0.000010 0.000023 0.000045 0.000079 0.000127 0.000195
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.325521e-06 0.000008 0.000021 0.000043 0.000079 0.000131 0.000206
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.934708e-06 0.000008 0.000021 0.000045 0.000085 0.000142 0.000228
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.326819e-06 0.000007 0.000019 0.000044 0.000085 0.000147 0.000239
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 9.548831e-07 0.000006 0.000018 0.000043 0.000087 0.000153 0.000254
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.052911e-07 0.000005 0.000016 0.000042 0.000087 0.000156 0.000264
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.709495e-07 0.000004 0.000015 0.000040 0.000087 0.000160 0.000274
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.499995e-07 0.000003 0.000014 0.000040 0.000089 0.000167 0.000289
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.401565e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000039 0.000089 0.000170 0.000300
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.297181e-08 0.000002 0.000012 0.000038 0.000090 0.000174 0.000311
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.135453e-08 0.000002 0.000011 0.000037 0.000089 0.000177 0.000320
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 9.011021e-09 0.000001 0.000010 0.000035 0.000088 0.000178 0.000327